{"id":678,"date":"2025-10-22T15:57:42","date_gmt":"2025-10-22T15:57:42","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/carina-stoettner.de\/?p=678"},"modified":"2025-10-22T15:57:43","modified_gmt":"2025-10-22T15:57:43","slug":"futures-thinking-stoettner-beim-vodafone-future-day","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/carina-stoettner.de\/en\/futures-thinking-stoettner-vodafone-future-day\/","title":{"rendered":"Futures Thinking \u2014 Stoettner at the Vodafone Future Day"},"content":{"rendered":"\r\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">At the&nbsp;<strong>Vodafone Future Day<\/strong>,&nbsp;<strong>Carina Stoettner<\/strong>&nbsp;spoke about why&nbsp;<strong>thinking about the future has become a core leadership discipline<\/strong>&nbsp;\u2014 and what so often stands in the way. The brain, she explained, tends to&nbsp;<strong>think short-term and to register risks more strongly than opportunities<\/strong>&nbsp;\u2014 a mechanism that makes strategic action difficult in uncertain times.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Her work with leadership teams, she said, isn&#8217;t about <strong>predicting the future<\/strong> but about learning to <strong>work with uncertainty<\/strong> \u2014 because the uncertainty isn&#8217;t going anywhere. She showed <strong>which cognitive tendencies<\/strong> (the negativity bias among them) shape how we think about what&#8217;s ahead, <strong>how far out it makes sense to look<\/strong>, and <strong>why scenario thinking is such an effective tool<\/strong> for making complexity manageable.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The future, in Stoettner&#8217;s framing, <strong>isn&#8217;t a fixed point but a space to think in<\/strong>: <strong>sketch out several possible futures<\/strong> instead of clinging to a single truth, and <strong>you get your ability to act back<\/strong>.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Earlier in the day,<a href=\"https:\/\/kpmg.com\/de\/de\/home\/contacts\/g\/heiko-von-der-gracht.html\" title=\"\"> <strong>Prof. Heiko von der Gracht<\/strong><\/a> offered a look at the scientific side of foresight work. He made clear that <strong>futures research isn&#8217;t fortune-telling<\/strong>: it rests on <strong>systematic observation, scenarios and the interpretation of signals<\/strong>. The future doesn&#8217;t arrive by accident, he argued \u2014 it can be <strong>explored methodically<\/strong>, by analyzing trends, wildcards and possible ruptures in a structured way.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<figure class=\"wp-block-gallery has-nested-images columns-default is-cropped wp-block-gallery-1 is-layout-flex wp-block-gallery-is-layout-flex\">\r\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"683\" data-id=\"674\" src=\"https:\/\/carina-stoettner.de\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/carina-stoettner-foto-vodafone3-1024x683.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-674\" srcset=\"https:\/\/carina-stoettner.de\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/carina-stoettner-foto-vodafone3-1024x683.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/carina-stoettner.de\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/carina-stoettner-foto-vodafone3-300x200.jpg 300w, https:\/\/carina-stoettner.de\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/carina-stoettner-foto-vodafone3-768x512.jpg 768w, https:\/\/carina-stoettner.de\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/carina-stoettner-foto-vodafone3-1536x1024.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/carina-stoettner.de\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/carina-stoettner-foto-vodafone3-2048x1365.jpg 2048w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Carina Stoettner at the Vodafone Future Day<\/figcaption><\/figure>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"683\" data-id=\"672\" src=\"https:\/\/carina-stoettner.de\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/carina-stoettner-foto-Vodafone1-1024x683.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-672\" srcset=\"https:\/\/carina-stoettner.de\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/carina-stoettner-foto-Vodafone1-1024x683.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/carina-stoettner.de\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/carina-stoettner-foto-Vodafone1-300x200.jpg 300w, https:\/\/carina-stoettner.de\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/carina-stoettner-foto-Vodafone1-768x512.jpg 768w, https:\/\/carina-stoettner.de\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/carina-stoettner-foto-Vodafone1.jpg 1200w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Carina Stoettner at the Vodafone Future Day<\/figcaption><\/figure>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"768\" height=\"1024\" data-id=\"679\" src=\"https:\/\/carina-stoettner.de\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/1760006117330-768x1024.jpeg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-679\" srcset=\"https:\/\/carina-stoettner.de\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/1760006117330-768x1024.jpeg 768w, https:\/\/carina-stoettner.de\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/1760006117330-225x300.jpeg 225w, https:\/\/carina-stoettner.de\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/1760006117330-1152x1536.jpeg 1152w, https:\/\/carina-stoettner.de\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/1760006117330.jpeg 1280w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 768px) 100vw, 768px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Carina Stoettner at the Vodafone Future Day<\/figcaption><\/figure>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"768\" height=\"1024\" data-id=\"680\" src=\"https:\/\/carina-stoettner.de\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/1760006119190-768x1024.jpeg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-680\" srcset=\"https:\/\/carina-stoettner.de\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/1760006119190-768x1024.jpeg 768w, https:\/\/carina-stoettner.de\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/1760006119190-225x300.jpeg 225w, https:\/\/carina-stoettner.de\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/1760006119190-1152x1536.jpeg 1152w, https:\/\/carina-stoettner.de\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/1760006119190.jpeg 1280w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 768px) 100vw, 768px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Carina Stoettner at the Vodafone Future Day with Prof. Heiko von der Gracht<\/figcaption><\/figure>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"683\" data-id=\"671\" src=\"https:\/\/carina-stoettner.de\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/carina-stoettner-foto-Vodafone2-1024x683.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-671\"\/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Carina Stoettner at the Vodafone Future Day<\/figcaption><\/figure>\r\n<\/figure>\r\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Beim Vodafone Future Day sprach Carina St\u00f6ttner dar\u00fcber, warum Zukunftsdenken zur zentralen F\u00fchrungsdisziplin wird, welche Denkverzerrungen unser Gehirn pr\u00e4gen und wie Szenariodenken hilft, Komplexit\u00e4t in Klarheit zu \u00fcbersetzen.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":671,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[110,20,69,31,111,34,109,105,106,35,107,108,112,17,47],"class_list":["post-678","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-rede","tag-entscheidungsfaehigkeit","tag-foresight","tag-fuehrungskraefte","tag-futures-thinking","tag-komplexitaet","tag-leadership","tag-negativitaets-bias","tag-strategie","tag-szenariodenken","tag-transformation","tag-unsicherheit","tag-unternehmenskultur","tag-vodafone-future-day","tag-zukunft","tag-zukunftskompetenz"],"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO 5.0.0.1 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Beim Vodafone Future Day sprach Carina St\u00f6ttner dar\u00fcber, warum Zukunftsdenken zur zentralen F\u00fchrungsdisziplin wird, welche Denkverzerrungen 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